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Battleground Polling: Ultimately Bad News

  • Ulti­mate bad news: why do you think they are run­ning IA polling. Nation­al­ly Kamala needs to be up nation­al­ly 5–6 points, 3 of the polls need to be up. NBC News nation­al­ly is tied, Emer­son poll tied, yahoo news Har­ris up 1. 7 nation­al polls that Har­ris is not past the mar­gin of error in any of them. Hillary did win the pop­u­lar vote. Could Trump win the pop­u­lar vote? 
  • MI could be bad for Har­ris. Trump polls are hor­ri­ble, because the peo­ple think they can steal our data. None of the polls over the mar­gin of error for Har­ris, 5 basi­cal­ly tied polls. What will be the out­come? Will the SOS be a part of the stolen elec­tion? Slotkin got rid of Kamala a long time ago. It was sup­posed to be a slam dunk for her in MI. There are 3 polls that are basi­cal­ly tied. Slotkin is in pan­ic in MI. 
  • In WI, Har­ris is not out­side the mar­gin of error. 4 polls in a tie. The WI sen­ate the demo­c­rat is not out­side the mar­gin of error. WI, MI, PA, OH could be 4 repub­li­cans in the sen­ate. 
  • AZ, Trump looks to be run­ning away with AZ. Kari Lake is behind in all the polling in AZ. Will AZ split the tick­et? 
  • NV is sta­tis­ti­cal­ly tied. 
  • GA a sta­tis­ti­cal tie.  The only rea­son GA could be that tight. 
  • In NC, what could be con­cern­ing with Trump in NC is that Robin­son is down in the polls. Could be drag­ging the tick­et. 
  • PA, 5 polls and a sta­tis­ti­cal tie. For the Sen­ate, there are 5 polls; only one has the Demo­c­rat Casey a tie. McCormick has run a good race in PA but the name Casey is woven in the fab­ric of the pol­i­tics of PA. PA will split their tick­et. 
  • Har­ris gets a wor­ry­ing sign in bell­wether PA coun­ty accord­ing to a poll. PA has 19 elec­toral votes and has the small­est mar­gin of vot­er sup­port. Northamp­ton is the bell­wether coun­ty. Trump has nev­er polled in Northamp­ton coun­ty in the pos­i­tive, he is up 2 points. 
  • IN Philly Mitt Rom­ney nev­er got a vote. Trump in 2016 at 2am, the vote in philly was over­come by Northamp­ton Co. This is why Trump has worked like he has this cam­paign. Rur­al coun­ty vot­ers will come out in record num­bers for Trump. If Trump could come up with a cou­ple thou­sand votes in the cities. 
  • Kamala is going to be in 4 places in PA today.  
  • The con­cern is that NC, GA and AZ. They will keep a lit­tle crew in these states but the major­i­ty of the peo­ple will be sent to PA. They shift­ed their resources into PA. What does the ground game and screw you mon­ey equal for Kamala. Sat­ur­day they knocked on over 800K doors. 
  • Bob Casey is not cam­paign­ing with Kamala in PA. He has run an ad that is run­ning with Trump using the Trump name. John Fet­ter­man has been cam­paign­ing for Trump in a round­about way. He is sound­ing stronger for Trump than Har­ris. Josh Shapiro wants to be pres­i­dent and he doesn’t want to wait 8 years behind Kamala. 

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